December 8, 2016
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Keith Berish | Ryan Janes |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 935 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | -65 | +65 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Keith Berish | Ryan Janes |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Keith Berish | Ryan Janes |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 958 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +42 |
Ryan Janes earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Keith Berish | Ryan Janes |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 61 | 82 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 168 | 214 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 68 | 99 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 970 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Ryan Janes controlled the striking exchanges with 99 vs 68 total strikes, 82 vs 61 significant strikes. Ryan Janes capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Keith Berish | Ryan Janes |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:52 | 2:58 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 965 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Ryan Janes edged out Keith Berish on the ground with 0 takedowns, 2:58 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Keith Berish | Ryan Janes |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 888 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Ryan Janes demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Ryan Janes capitalized on this activity level, while Keith Berish's 888-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Keith Berish | Ryan Janes |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Ryan Janes started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Keith Berish is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Keith Berish | Ryan Janes |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

