June 18, 2010
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Keith Jardine | Matt Hamill |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 990 | 1 172 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +23 |
Matt Hamill overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (10 vs 13 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Keith Jardine.
| Metric | Keith Jardine | Matt Hamill |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 999 | 1 117 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Keith Jardine | Matt Hamill |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Majority | Decision - Majority |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 049 | 1 301 |
| ELO Change | -7 | +7 |
The Decision - Majority showed mixed judging, with Matt Hamill earning reduced bonuses for the unclear victory margin.
| Metric | Keith Jardine | Matt Hamill |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 65 | 77 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 227 | 199 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 66 | 90 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 890 | 1 250 |
| ELO Change | -7 | +7 |
Matt Hamill edged the striking exchanges with 90 vs 66 total strikes, 77 vs 65 significant strikes, 38.7% vs 28.6% accuracy. Matt Hamill capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Keith Jardine | Matt Hamill |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 9 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:31 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 940 | 1 270 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +11 |
Matt Hamill edged out Keith Jardine on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 1:31 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Keith Jardine | Matt Hamill |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 119 | 196 |
| Activity ELO | 1 117 | 1 210 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +22 |
Matt Hamill demonstrated standard activity with 196 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Matt Hamill capitalized on this activity level, while Keith Jardine's 119-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Keith Jardine | Matt Hamill |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 009 | 1 143 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +21 |
Matt Hamill extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Keith Jardine is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Keith Jardine | Matt Hamill |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 988 | 1 112 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.