February 3, 2006
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Keith Jardine | Mike Whitehead |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 051 | 970 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Keith Jardine | Mike Whitehead |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 041 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Keith Jardine | Mike Whitehead |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 118 | 968 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Keith Jardine earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Keith Jardine | Mike Whitehead |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 44 | 27 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 131 | 73 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 90 | 37 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 155 | 974 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Keith Jardine dominated the striking exchanges with 90 vs 37 total strikes, 44 vs 27 significant strikes. Keith Jardine capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Keith Jardine | Mike Whitehead |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 12 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 6:23 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 041 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Keith Jardine did not secure a significant ground advantage against Mike Whitehead on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Keith Jardine | Mike Whitehead |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 91 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 070 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -20 |
Keith Jardine demonstrated solid activity levels with 91 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Keith Jardine capitalized on this activity level, while Mike Whitehead's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Keith Jardine | Mike Whitehead |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 047 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -20 |
Keith Jardine extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mike Whitehead is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Keith Jardine | Mike Whitehead |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 041 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

