March 6, 2009
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Keith Jardine | Quinton Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 060 | 1 198 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +31 |
Quinton Jackson overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 10 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Keith Jardine.
| Metric | Keith Jardine | Quinton Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 055 | 1 188 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Keith Jardine | Quinton Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 112 | 1 339 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Quinton Jackson earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Keith Jardine | Quinton Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 64 | 56 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 184 | 151 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 65 | 80 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 2 |
| Striking ELO | 975 | 1 371 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Quinton Jackson dominated the striking exchanges with 56 vs 64 significant strikes, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Quinton Jackson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Keith Jardine | Quinton Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:28 | 2:54 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 025 | 1 237 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +47 |
Quinton Jackson landed 2 knockdowns followed by 4 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Keith Jardine | Quinton Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 141 | 70 |
| Activity ELO | 1 184 | 1 257 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +66 |
Quinton Jackson demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 70 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Quinton Jackson capitalized on this activity level, while Keith Jardine's 141-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Keith Jardine | Quinton Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 063 | 1 114 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +25 |
Quinton Jackson extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Keith Jardine is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Keith Jardine | Quinton Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 042 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.