June 23, 2006
Light Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Keith Jardine | Wilson Gouveia |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 049 | 970 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Keith Jardine's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Keith Jardine for the expected result. Had Wilson Gouveia pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Keith Jardine | Wilson Gouveia |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 039 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Keith Jardine | Wilson Gouveia |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 106 | 967 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Keith Jardine earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Keith Jardine | Wilson Gouveia |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 67 | 48 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 205 | 115 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 71 | 51 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 111 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Keith Jardine controlled the striking exchanges with 71 vs 51 total strikes, 67 vs 48 significant strikes, 32.7% vs 41.7% accuracy. Keith Jardine capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Keith Jardine | Wilson Gouveia |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:33 | 0:29 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 056 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -38 |
Keith Jardine edged out Wilson Gouveia on the ground with 1 takedown, 0:33 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Keith Jardine | Wilson Gouveia |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 79 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 103 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +54 | -18 |
Keith Jardine demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 79 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Keith Jardine capitalized on this activity level, while Wilson Gouveia's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Keith Jardine | Wilson Gouveia |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 046 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -19 |
Keith Jardine started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Wilson Gouveia is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Keith Jardine | Wilson Gouveia |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 039 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.