November 24, 2017
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Kelvin Gastelum | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 29 |
| Experience Gap | -16 | 16 |
| Experience ELO | 1 316 | 1 251 |
| ELO Change | +73 | -35 |
Kelvin Gastelum overcame a 16-fight experience disadvantage (13 vs 29 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Michael Bisping.
| Metric | Kelvin Gastelum | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 146 | 1 243 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Kelvin Gastelum | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:30 | 2:30 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 546 | 1 500 |
| ELO Change | +131 | -58 |
Kelvin Gastelum earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:30, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Kelvin Gastelum | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 14 | 7 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 27 | 24 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 14 | 7 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 495 | 1 402 |
| ELO Change | +163 | -163 |
Kelvin Gastelum controlled the striking exchanges with 14 vs 7 significant strikes, 51.9% vs 29.2% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Kelvin Gastelum capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Kelvin Gastelum | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:07 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 279 | 1 210 |
| ELO Change | +61 | -61 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Kelvin Gastelum | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 127 | 21 |
| Activity ELO | 1 317 | 1 409 |
| ELO Change | +63 | -31 |
Kelvin Gastelum demonstrated solid activity levels with 127 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Kelvin Gastelum capitalized on this activity level, while Michael Bisping's 21-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Kelvin Gastelum | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 199 | 1 244 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -27 |
Kelvin Gastelum started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Michael Bisping is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Kelvin Gastelum | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 129 | 1 154 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.