June 12, 2015
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Kelvin Gastelum | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 19 |
| Experience Gap | -12 | 12 |
| Experience ELO | 1 221 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -25 |
Kelvin Gastelum overcame a 12-fight experience disadvantage (7 vs 19 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Nate Marquardt.
| Metric | Kelvin Gastelum | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 102 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Kelvin Gastelum | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 352 | 1 242 |
| ELO Change | +94 | -46 |
Kelvin Gastelum gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Kelvin Gastelum | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 59 | 18 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 110 | 49 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 126 | 24 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 291 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | +72 | -72 |
Kelvin Gastelum dominated the striking exchanges with 126 vs 24 total strikes, 59 vs 18 significant strikes, 53.6% vs 36.7% accuracy. Kelvin Gastelum capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Kelvin Gastelum | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:39 | 0:12 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 13 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 394 | 1 171 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -41 |
Kelvin Gastelum controlled Nate Marquardt on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 3:39 of control time, 13 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Kelvin Gastelum | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 133 | 161 |
| Activity ELO | 1 222 | 1 168 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -22 |
Kelvin Gastelum demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Kelvin Gastelum capitalized on this activity level, while Nate Marquardt's 161-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Kelvin Gastelum | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 149 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -19 |
Kelvin Gastelum started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nate Marquardt is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Kelvin Gastelum | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 102 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.