June 27, 2014
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Kelvin Gastelum | Nicholas Musoke |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 157 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Kelvin Gastelum | Nicholas Musoke |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 085 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Kelvin Gastelum | Nicholas Musoke |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 168 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -44 |
Kelvin Gastelum earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Kelvin Gastelum | Nicholas Musoke |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 67 | 36 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 174 | 128 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 97 | 42 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 185 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Kelvin Gastelum dominated the striking exchanges with 97 vs 42 total strikes, 67 vs 36 significant strikes, 38.5% vs 28.1% accuracy. Kelvin Gastelum capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Kelvin Gastelum | Nicholas Musoke |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:18 | 4:17 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 238 | 1 069 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
Kelvin Gastelum did not secure a significant ground advantage against Nicholas Musoke on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:18 of control time, 2 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Kelvin Gastelum | Nicholas Musoke |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 105 | 133 |
| Activity ELO | 1 151 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -19 |
Kelvin Gastelum demonstrated solid activity levels with 105 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Kelvin Gastelum capitalized on this activity level, while Nicholas Musoke's 133-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Kelvin Gastelum | Nicholas Musoke |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 109 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -19 |
Kelvin Gastelum extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nicholas Musoke is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Kelvin Gastelum | Nicholas Musoke |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 085 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

