Kelvin Gastelum vs Tim Kennedy

Kelvin Gastelum's 5-fight experience advantage (10 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Kelvin Gastelum for the expected result. Had Tim Kennedy pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Kelvin Gastelum gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.

Kelvin Gastelum controlled the striking exchanges with 62 vs 45 significant strikes, 56.4% vs 41.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Kelvin Gastelum capitalized on this striking dominance.

Kelvin Gastelum landed 1 knockdown followed by 1 ground strike. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Kelvin Gastelum demonstrated solid activity levels with 155 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Kelvin Gastelum capitalized on this activity level, while Tim Kennedy's 806-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Kelvin Gastelum extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tim Kennedy is back at 0 with this loss.

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.