January 30, 2015
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Kelvin Gastelum | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 175 | 1 239 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (6 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Kelvin Gastelum | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 082 | 1 086 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Kelvin Gastelum | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 258 | 1 449 |
| ELO Change | -6 | +6 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Tyron Woodley receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Kelvin Gastelum | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 32 | 27 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 143 | 104 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 40 | 34 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 219 | 1 494 |
| ELO Change | -8 | +8 |
Kelvin Gastelum controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (32 vs 27). However, since Kelvin Gastelum lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Tyron Woodley's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Kelvin Gastelum | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:42 | 0:26 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 353 | 1 262 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Tyron Woodley did not secure a significant ground advantage against Kelvin Gastelum on the ground with 0:26 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Kelvin Gastelum | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 77 | 162 |
| Activity ELO | 1 179 | 1 243 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +36 |
Tyron Woodley demonstrated solid activity levels with 162 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Tyron Woodley capitalized on this activity level, while Kelvin Gastelum's 77-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Kelvin Gastelum | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 128 | 1 112 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +30 |
Tyron Woodley extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kelvin Gastelum is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Kelvin Gastelum | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 082 | 1 085 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

