Kelvin Gastelum vs Tyron Woodley

January 30, 2015

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1185
(-21)
Kelvin Gastelum
Winner: Tyron Woodley
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Kelvin Gastelum-21
Tyron Woodley+23
1246
(+23)
Tyron Woodley

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Kelvin Gastelum: -31Tyron Woodley: +31

Performance Statistics

MetricKelvin GastelumTyron Woodley
Total UFC Fights67
Experience Gap-11
Experience ELO1 1751 239
ELO Change-31+31
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (6 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Kelvin Gastelum: -24Tyron Woodley: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricKelvin GastelumTyron Woodley
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0821 086
ELO Change-24+24
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Kelvin Gastelum: -6Tyron Woodley: +6

Performance Statistics

MetricKelvin GastelumTyron Woodley
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 2581 449
ELO Change-6+6
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What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Tyron Woodley receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Kelvin Gastelum: -8Tyron Woodley: +8

Performance Statistics

MetricKelvin GastelumTyron Woodley
Significant Strikes Landed3227
Significant Strikes Attempted143104
Total Strikes Landed4034
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 2191 494
ELO Change-8+8
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What Happened

Kelvin Gastelum controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (32 vs 27). However, since Kelvin Gastelum lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Tyron Woodley's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Kelvin Gastelum: -30Tyron Woodley: +30

Performance Statistics

MetricKelvin GastelumTyron Woodley
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:420:26
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 3531 262
ELO Change-30+30
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What Happened

Tyron Woodley did not secure a significant ground advantage against Kelvin Gastelum on the ground with 0:26 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Kelvin Gastelum: -21Tyron Woodley: +36

Performance Statistics

MetricKelvin GastelumTyron Woodley
Days Since Last Fight77162
Activity ELO1 1791 243
ELO Change-21+36
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What Happened

Tyron Woodley demonstrated solid activity levels with 162 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Tyron Woodley capitalized on this activity level, while Kelvin Gastelum's 77-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Kelvin Gastelum: -25Tyron Woodley: +30

Performance Statistics

MetricKelvin GastelumTyron Woodley
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO1 1281 112
ELO Change-25+30
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What Happened

Tyron Woodley extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kelvin Gastelum is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Kelvin Gastelum: -24Tyron Woodley: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricKelvin GastelumTyron Woodley
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0821 085
ELO Change-24+24
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.