November 12, 1993
Open Weight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ken Shamrock | Royce Gracie |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 000 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +32 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Ken Shamrock | Royce Gracie |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 000 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ken Shamrock | Royce Gracie |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:57 | 0:57 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 037 | 1 166 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +92 |
Royce Gracie locked in a lightning-fast Submission in 0:57 of round 1. This explosive first-minute submission earned substantial bonus rewards.
| Metric | Ken Shamrock | Royce Gracie |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 0 | 12 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 962 | 1 108 |
| ELO Change | -59 | +59 |
Royce Gracie slightly outperformed the striking exchanges. Royce Gracie capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ken Shamrock | Royce Gracie |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | -- | -- |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 013 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +42 |
The fight remained exclusively on the feet with zero ground action, resulting in neutral ground scoring for both fighters.
| Metric | Ken Shamrock | Royce Gracie |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 1 | 1 |
| Activity ELO | 1 000 | 1 231 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +210 |
Royce Gracie demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within 1 day since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Royce Gracie capitalized on this activity level, while Ken Shamrock's 1-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ken Shamrock | Royce Gracie |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 002 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +25 |
Royce Gracie extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ken Shamrock is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ken Shamrock | Royce Gracie |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | N/A | N/A |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 000 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

