October 9, 2006
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ken Shamrock | Tito Ortiz |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 15 | 18 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 063 | 1 260 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Tito Ortiz's 3-fight experience advantage (18 vs 15 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Tito Ortiz for the expected result. Had Ken Shamrock pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Ken Shamrock | Tito Ortiz |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 058 | 1 294 |
| ELO Change | -9 | +9 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ken Shamrock | Tito Ortiz |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:23 | 2:23 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 255 | 1 518 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +46 |
Tito Ortiz earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:23, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Ken Shamrock | Tito Ortiz |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 0 | 18 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 0 | 29 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 7 | 38 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 019 | 1 420 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Tito Ortiz controlled the striking exchanges with 38 vs 7 total strikes, 18 vs 0 significant strikes, 62.1% vs 0.0% accuracy. Tito Ortiz capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ken Shamrock | Tito Ortiz |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 2:06 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 15 |
| Ground ELO | 1 165 | 1 453 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Tito Ortiz controlled Ken Shamrock on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 2:06 of control time, 15 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Ken Shamrock | Tito Ortiz |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 94 | 94 |
| Activity ELO | 1 262 | 1 434 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +35 |
Tito Ortiz demonstrated solid activity levels with 94 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Tito Ortiz capitalized on this activity level, while Ken Shamrock's 94-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ken Shamrock | Tito Ortiz |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 5 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 057 | 1 255 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +22 |
Tito Ortiz continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Ken Shamrock's now at 0.
| Metric | Ken Shamrock | Tito Ortiz |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 031 | 1 180 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +14 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.