March 15, 2024
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Kennedy Nzechukwu | Ovince Saint Preux |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 27 |
| Experience Gap | -16 | 16 |
| Experience ELO | 1 062 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +37 |
Ovince Saint Preux's 16-fight experience advantage (27 vs 11 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Ovince Saint Preux for the expected result. Had Kennedy Nzechukwu pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Kennedy Nzechukwu | Ovince Saint Preux |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 017 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Kennedy Nzechukwu | Ovince Saint Preux |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 260 | 1 217 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +13 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Ovince Saint Preux receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Kennedy Nzechukwu | Ovince Saint Preux |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 106 | 143 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 250 | 276 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 106 | 143 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 995 | 907 |
| ELO Change | -103 | +103 |
Ovince Saint Preux controlled the striking exchanges with 143 vs 106 total strikes, 143 vs 106 significant strikes, 51.8% vs 42.4% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Ovince Saint Preux capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Kennedy Nzechukwu | Ovince Saint Preux |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:08 | 0:06 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 047 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | -66 | +66 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Kennedy Nzechukwu | Ovince Saint Preux |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 225 | 392 |
| Activity ELO | 1 131 | 1 222 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +16 |
Ovince Saint Preux demonstrated extended layoff with 392 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Ovince Saint Preux capitalized on this activity level, while Kennedy Nzechukwu's 225-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Kennedy Nzechukwu | Ovince Saint Preux |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 041 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +24 |
Ovince Saint Preux started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kennedy Nzechukwu is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Kennedy Nzechukwu | Ovince Saint Preux |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 016 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

