Kennedy Nzechukwu vs Paul Craig

March 29, 2019

Light Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

968
(-32)
Kennedy Nzechukwu
Winner: Paul Craig
Submission
Round 3 • 4:20

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Kennedy Nzechukwu-32
Paul Craig+39
1008
(+39)
Paul Craig

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Kennedy Nzechukwu: -34Paul Craig: +34

Performance Statistics

MetricKennedy NzechukwuPaul Craig
Total UFC Fights16
Experience Gap-55
Experience ELO9661 004
ELO Change-34+34
💡

What Happened

Paul Craig's 5-fight experience advantage (6 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Paul Craig for the expected result. Had Kennedy Nzechukwu pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Kennedy Nzechukwu: -22Paul Craig: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricKennedy NzechukwuPaul Craig
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9781 004
ELO Change-22+22
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Kennedy Nzechukwu: -40Paul Craig: +60

Performance Statistics

MetricKennedy NzechukwuPaul Craig
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round33
Time of Finish4:204:20
Win Type ELO9601 077
ELO Change-40+60
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What Happened

Paul Craig earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 4:20, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Kennedy Nzechukwu was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Kennedy Nzechukwu: -27Paul Craig: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricKennedy NzechukwuPaul Craig
Significant Strikes Landed4025
Significant Strikes Attempted7277
Total Strikes Landed4731
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO973926
ELO Change-27+27
💡

What Happened

Kennedy Nzechukwu controlled the striking through superior volume (47 vs 31 total strikes), significant strike advantage (40 vs 25), superior accuracy (55.6% vs 32.5%). However, since Kennedy Nzechukwu lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Paul Craig's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Kennedy Nzechukwu: -66Paul Craig: +66

Performance Statistics

MetricKennedy NzechukwuPaul Craig
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted016
Ground Control Time4:241:38
Ground Strikes Landed220
Ground ELO934994
ELO Change-66+66
💡

What Happened

Paul Craig controlled Kennedy Nzechukwu on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:38 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Kennedy Nzechukwu: -22Paul Craig: +54

Performance Statistics

MetricKennedy NzechukwuPaul Craig
Days Since Last FightN/A119
Activity ELO9781 043
ELO Change-22+54
💡

What Happened

Paul Craig demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Paul Craig capitalized on this activity level, while Kennedy Nzechukwu's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Kennedy Nzechukwu: -22Paul Craig: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricKennedy NzechukwuPaul Craig
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9781 010
ELO Change-22+24
💡

What Happened

Paul Craig started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kennedy Nzechukwu is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Kennedy Nzechukwu: -22Paul Craig: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricKennedy NzechukwuPaul Craig
Weight ClassLight HeavyweightLight Heavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9781 004
ELO Change-22+22
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.