August 8, 2008
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Kenny Florian | Roger Huerta |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 194 | 1 116 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Kenny Florian's 3-fight experience advantage (10 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Kenny Florian for the expected result. Had Roger Huerta pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Kenny Florian | Roger Huerta |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 122 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Kenny Florian | Roger Huerta |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 373 | 1 247 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Kenny Florian earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Kenny Florian | Roger Huerta |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 51 | 33 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 99 | 103 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 65 | 60 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 396 | 1 250 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Kenny Florian controlled the striking exchanges with 51 vs 33 significant strikes, 51.5% vs 32.0% accuracy. Kenny Florian capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Kenny Florian | Roger Huerta |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:27 | 1:18 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 12 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 1 448 | 1 244 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -46 |
Kenny Florian controlled Roger Huerta on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 2:27 of control time, 12 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Kenny Florian | Roger Huerta |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 129 | 245 |
| Activity ELO | 1 270 | 1 203 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -21 |
Kenny Florian demonstrated solid activity levels with 129 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Kenny Florian capitalized on this activity level, while Roger Huerta's 245-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Kenny Florian | Roger Huerta |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 5 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 174 | 1 134 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -23 |
Kenny Florian continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Roger Huerta's now at 0.
| Metric | Kenny Florian | Roger Huerta |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 122 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

