June 23, 2006
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Kenny Florian | Sam Stout |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 078 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Kenny Florian's 2-fight experience advantage (4 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Kenny Florian for the expected result. Had Sam Stout pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Kenny Florian | Sam Stout |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 045 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Kenny Florian | Sam Stout |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:46 | 1:46 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 128 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +69 | -36 |
Kenny Florian earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:46, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Kenny Florian | Sam Stout |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 8 | 4 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 19 | 0 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 116 | 919 |
| ELO Change | +108 | -108 |
Kenny Florian edged the striking exchanges with 5 vs 0 significant strikes, 62.5% vs 0.0% accuracy. Kenny Florian capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Kenny Florian | Sam Stout |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:37 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 204 | 930 |
| ELO Change | +95 | -95 |
Kenny Florian dominated Sam Stout on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:37 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Kenny Florian | Sam Stout |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 231 | 112 |
| Activity ELO | 1 107 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -17 |
Kenny Florian demonstrated standard activity with 231 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Kenny Florian capitalized on this activity level, while Sam Stout's 112-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Kenny Florian | Sam Stout |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 057 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -21 |
Kenny Florian extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Sam Stout is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Kenny Florian | Sam Stout |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 045 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.