October 13, 2006
UFC Lightweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Kenny Florian | Sean Sherk |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 048 | 1 122 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Sean Sherk's 2-fight experience advantage (7 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Sean Sherk for the expected result. Had Kenny Florian pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Kenny Florian | Sean Sherk |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 024 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +62 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Sean Sherk captured the UFC Lightweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Kenny Florian | Sean Sherk |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 085 | 1 164 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +43 |
Sean Sherk earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Kenny Florian | Sean Sherk |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 23 | 60 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 40 | 104 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 90 | 161 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 079 | 1 193 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +37 |
Sean Sherk dominated the striking exchanges with 161 vs 90 total strikes, 60 vs 23 significant strikes. Sean Sherk capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Kenny Florian | Sean Sherk |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 8 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 13 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:33 | 19:48 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 11 | 49 |
| Ground ELO | 1 091 | 1 288 |
| ELO Change | -113 | +113 |
Sean Sherk dominated Kenny Florian on the ground with 8 vs 0 takedowns, 19:48 of control time, 49 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Kenny Florian | Sean Sherk |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 112 | 182 |
| Activity ELO | 1 084 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +28 |
Sean Sherk demonstrated standard activity with 182 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Sean Sherk capitalized on this activity level, while Kenny Florian's 112-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Kenny Florian | Sean Sherk |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 036 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +25 |
Sean Sherk extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kenny Florian is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Kenny Florian | Sean Sherk |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 024 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.