March 30, 2010
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Kenny Florian | Takanori Gomi |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 14 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 13 | -13 |
| Experience ELO | 1 219 | 985 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
Kenny Florian's 13-fight experience advantage (14 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Kenny Florian for the expected result. Had Takanori Gomi pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Kenny Florian | Takanori Gomi |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 155 | 987 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -13 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Kenny Florian | Takanori Gomi |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 2:52 | 2:52 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 419 | 993 |
| ELO Change | +11 | -7 |
Kenny Florian earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 2:52, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Takanori Gomi was submitted.
| Metric | Kenny Florian | Takanori Gomi |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 51 | 20 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 186 | 116 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 74 | 20 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 411 | 991 |
| ELO Change | +9 | -9 |
Kenny Florian dominated the striking exchanges with 74 vs 20 total strikes, 51 vs 20 significant strikes, 27.4% vs 17.2% accuracy. Kenny Florian capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Kenny Florian | Takanori Gomi |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:45 | 0:08 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 438 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Kenny Florian dominated Takanori Gomi on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:45 of control time, 6 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Kenny Florian | Takanori Gomi |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 109 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 328 | 994 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -6 |
Kenny Florian demonstrated solid activity levels with 109 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Kenny Florian capitalized on this activity level, while Takanori Gomi's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Kenny Florian | Takanori Gomi |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 217 | 990 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -10 |
Kenny Florian extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Takanori Gomi is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Kenny Florian | Takanori Gomi |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 160 | 987 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -13 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

