February 4, 2011
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Kenny Robertson | Mike Pierce |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 979 | 1 136 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Mike Pierce's 4-fight experience advantage (5 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Mike Pierce for the expected result. Had Kenny Robertson pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Kenny Robertson | Mike Pierce |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 982 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Kenny Robertson | Mike Pierce |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 0:29 | 0:29 |
| Win Type ELO | 973 | 1 185 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +55 |
Mike Pierce gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Kenny Robertson | Mike Pierce |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 12 | 19 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 36 | 37 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 24 | 33 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 945 | 1 211 |
| ELO Change | -55 | +55 |
Mike Pierce controlled the striking exchanges with 19 vs 12 significant strikes, 51.4% vs 33.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Mike Pierce capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Kenny Robertson | Mike Pierce |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:13 | 3:59 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 9 |
| Ground ELO | 978 | 1 324 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Mike Pierce landed 1 knockdown followed by 9 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Kenny Robertson | Mike Pierce |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 162 |
| Activity ELO | 985 | 1 126 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +27 |
Mike Pierce demonstrated solid activity levels with 162 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Mike Pierce capitalized on this activity level, while Kenny Robertson's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Kenny Robertson | Mike Pierce |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 983 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +22 |
Mike Pierce extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kenny Robertson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Kenny Robertson | Mike Pierce |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 982 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

