Kenny Robertson vs Roan Carneiro

September 16, 2016

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1070
(-27)
Kenny Robertson
Winner: Roan Carneiro
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Kenny Robertson-27
Roan Carneiro+29
1060
(+29)
Roan Carneiro

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Kenny Robertson: -33Roan Carneiro: +35

Performance Statistics

MetricKenny RobertsonRoan Carneiro
Total UFC Fights98
Experience Gap1-1
Experience ELO1 0011 051
ELO Change-33+35
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (9 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Kenny Robertson: -23Roan Carneiro: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricKenny RobertsonRoan Carneiro
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9941 014
ELO Change-23+23
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Kenny Robertson: -11Roan Carneiro: +11

Performance Statistics

MetricKenny RobertsonRoan Carneiro
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 1791 176
ELO Change-11+11
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What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Roan Carneiro receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Kenny Robertson: -34Roan Carneiro: +34

Performance Statistics

MetricKenny RobertsonRoan Carneiro
Significant Strikes Landed2833
Significant Strikes Attempted13470
Total Strikes Landed4543
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 1491 038
ELO Change-34+34
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What Happened

Roan Carneiro slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 33 vs 28 significant strikes, 47.1% vs 20.9% accuracy. Roan Carneiro capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Kenny Robertson: -49Roan Carneiro: +49

Performance Statistics

MetricKenny RobertsonRoan Carneiro
Takedowns Landed02
Takedowns Attempted06
Ground Control Time3:122:37
Ground Strikes Landed30
Ground ELO1 1811 113
ELO Change-49+49
💡

What Happened

Roan Carneiro edged out Kenny Robertson on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 2:37 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Kenny Robertson: -25Roan Carneiro: +31

Performance Statistics

MetricKenny RobertsonRoan Carneiro
Days Since Last Fight420209
Activity ELO1 0481 044
ELO Change-25+31
💡

What Happened

Roan Carneiro demonstrated standard activity with 209 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Roan Carneiro capitalized on this activity level, while Kenny Robertson's 420-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Kenny Robertson: -23Roan Carneiro: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricKenny RobertsonRoan Carneiro
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO1 0101 026
ELO Change-23+25
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What Happened

Roan Carneiro started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kenny Robertson is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Kenny Robertson: -23Roan Carneiro: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricKenny RobertsonRoan Carneiro
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9941 014
ELO Change-23+23
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.