January 23, 2015
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Kenny Robertson | Sultan Aliev |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 061 | 971 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Kenny Robertson's 6-fight experience advantage (7 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Kenny Robertson for the expected result. Had Sultan Aliev pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Kenny Robertson | Sultan Aliev |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 036 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Kenny Robertson | Sultan Aliev |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:42 | 2:42 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 198 | 974 |
| ELO Change | +59 | -26 |
Kenny Robertson earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:42, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Kenny Robertson | Sultan Aliev |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 14 | 8 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 33 | 14 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 14 | 8 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 215 | 943 |
| ELO Change | +57 | -57 |
Kenny Robertson controlled the striking exchanges with 14 vs 8 significant strikes, 42.4% vs 57.1% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Kenny Robertson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Kenny Robertson | Sultan Aliev |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:29 | 0:22 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 267 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Kenny Robertson landed 1 knockdown followed by 2 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Kenny Robertson | Sultan Aliev |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 204 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 090 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -17 |
Kenny Robertson demonstrated standard activity with 204 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Kenny Robertson capitalized on this activity level, while Sultan Aliev's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Kenny Robertson | Sultan Aliev |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 052 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -19 |
Kenny Robertson extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Sultan Aliev is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Kenny Robertson | Sultan Aliev |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 036 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

