April 26, 2024
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ketlen Souza | Marnic Mann |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 008 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Ketlen Souza | Marnic Mann |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 001 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ketlen Souza | Marnic Mann |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 009 | 917 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -41 |
Ketlen Souza earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Ketlen Souza | Marnic Mann |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 80 | 31 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 116 | 77 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 93 | 111 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 973 | 896 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Ketlen Souza controlled the striking exchanges with 80 vs 31 significant strikes, 69.0% vs 40.3% accuracy. Ketlen Souza capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ketlen Souza | Marnic Mann |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:11 | 2:54 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 951 | 871 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Ketlen Souza edged out Marnic Mann on the ground with 1 takedown, 3:11 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Ketlen Souza | Marnic Mann |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 329 | 224 |
| Activity ELO | 1 001 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Ketlen Souza demonstrated standard activity with 329 days since her last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Ketlen Souza capitalized on this activity level, while Marnic Mann's 224-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ketlen Souza | Marnic Mann |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 003 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Ketlen Souza started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Marnic Mann is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ketlen Souza | Marnic Mann |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 001 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.