July 21, 2023
Women's Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ketlen Vieira | Pannie Kianzad |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 177 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Ketlen Vieira's 2-fight experience advantage (11 vs 9 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Ketlen Vieira for the expected result. Had Pannie Kianzad pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Ketlen Vieira | Pannie Kianzad |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 099 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ketlen Vieira | Pannie Kianzad |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 192 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Ketlen Vieira earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Ketlen Vieira | Pannie Kianzad |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 15 | 22 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 33 | 51 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 65 | 92 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 022 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Pannie Kianzad controlled the striking through superior volume (92 vs 65 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (22 vs 15). However, since Pannie Kianzad lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Ketlen Vieira's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Ketlen Vieira | Pannie Kianzad |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 10:49 | 2:11 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 12 |
| Ground ELO | 1 240 | 952 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Ketlen Vieira controlled Pannie Kianzad on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 10:49 of control time, 6 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Ketlen Vieira | Pannie Kianzad |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 189 | 462 |
| Activity ELO | 1 159 | 1 110 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -21 |
Ketlen Vieira demonstrated standard activity with 189 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Ketlen Vieira capitalized on this activity level, while Pannie Kianzad's 462-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ketlen Vieira | Pannie Kianzad |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 124 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -19 |
Ketlen Vieira started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Pannie Kianzad is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ketlen Vieira | Pannie Kianzad |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 093 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.