Ketlen Vieira vs Raquel Pennington

January 13, 2023

Women's Bantamweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1114
(-18)
Ketlen Vieira
Winner: Raquel Pennington
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Ketlen Vieira-18
Raquel Pennington+20
1214
(+20)
Raquel Pennington

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Ketlen Vieira: -33Raquel Pennington: +33

Performance Statistics

MetricKetlen VieiraRaquel Pennington
Total UFC Fights1017
Experience Gap-77
Experience ELO1 1501 199
ELO Change-33+33
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What Happened

Raquel Pennington's 7-fight experience advantage (17 vs 10 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Raquel Pennington for the expected result. Had Ketlen Vieira pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Ketlen Vieira: -19Raquel Pennington: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricKetlen VieiraRaquel Pennington
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0801 148
ELO Change-19+19
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Ketlen Vieira: -7Raquel Pennington: +7

Performance Statistics

MetricKetlen VieiraRaquel Pennington
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 1551 295
ELO Change-7+7
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What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Raquel Pennington receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Ketlen Vieira: -14Raquel Pennington: +14

Performance Statistics

MetricKetlen VieiraRaquel Pennington
Significant Strikes Landed6481
Significant Strikes Attempted152159
Total Strikes Landed138104
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9981 190
ELO Change-14+14
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What Happened

Raquel Pennington controlled the striking exchanges with 104 vs 138 total strikes, 81 vs 64 significant strikes, 50.9% vs 42.1% accuracy. Raquel Pennington capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Ketlen Vieira: -19Raquel Pennington: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricKetlen VieiraRaquel Pennington
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted02
Ground Control Time4:451:18
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 2171 288
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

Raquel Pennington did not secure a significant ground advantage against Ketlen Vieira on the ground with 1:18 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Ketlen Vieira: -15Raquel Pennington: +15

Performance Statistics

MetricKetlen VieiraRaquel Pennington
Days Since Last Fight239281
Activity ELO1 1331 266
ELO Change-15+15
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What Happened

Raquel Pennington demonstrated standard activity with 281 days since her last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Raquel Pennington capitalized on this activity level, while Ketlen Vieira's 239-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Ketlen Vieira: -19Raquel Pennington: +36

Performance Statistics

MetricKetlen VieiraRaquel Pennington
Win Streak05
Win Streak ELO1 1031 194
ELO Change-19+36
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What Happened

Raquel Pennington continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Ketlen Vieira's now at 0.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Ketlen Vieira: -20Raquel Pennington: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricKetlen VieiraRaquel Pennington
Weight ClassWomen's BantamweightWomen's Bantamweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0741 135
ELO Change-20+20
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.