September 8, 2017
Women's Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ketlen Vieira | Sara McMann |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 134 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -30 |
Ketlen Vieira overcame a 6-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 9 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Sara McMann.
| Metric | Ketlen Vieira | Sara McMann |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 062 | 1 028 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ketlen Vieira | Sara McMann |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:16 | 4:16 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 145 | 1 124 |
| ELO Change | +87 | -56 |
Ketlen Vieira earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 4:16, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Sara McMann was submitted.
| Metric | Ketlen Vieira | Sara McMann |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 17 | 29 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 21 | 58 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 35 | 36 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 067 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Sara McMann controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (29 vs 17), superior accuracy (50.0% vs 81.0%). However, since Sara McMann lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Ketlen Vieira's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Ketlen Vieira | Sara McMann |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:45 | 5:32 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 19 |
| Ground ELO | 1 191 | 1 143 |
| ELO Change | +68 | -68 |
Ketlen Vieira controlled Sara McMann on the ground with 1 takedown, 1:45 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Ketlen Vieira | Sara McMann |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 147 | 202 |
| Activity ELO | 1 096 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -25 |
Ketlen Vieira demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Ketlen Vieira capitalized on this activity level, while Sara McMann's 202-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ketlen Vieira | Sara McMann |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 076 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -22 |
Ketlen Vieira extended her 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Sara McMann is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ketlen Vieira | Sara McMann |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 062 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.