March 29, 2025
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Kevin Borjas | Ronaldo Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 988 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -29 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Kevin Borjas | Ronaldo Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 985 | 1 010 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Kevin Borjas | Ronaldo Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 985 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | +60 | -60 |
Kevin Borjas earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Kevin Borjas | Ronaldo Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 83 | 64 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 141 | 151 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 84 | 64 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 949 | 942 |
| ELO Change | +86 | -86 |
Kevin Borjas controlled the striking exchanges with 84 vs 64 total strikes, 83 vs 64 significant strikes, 58.9% vs 42.4% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Kevin Borjas capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Kevin Borjas | Ronaldo Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:57 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 950 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -38 |
Kevin Borjas landed 1 knockdown followed by 2 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Kevin Borjas | Ronaldo Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 330 | 197 |
| Activity ELO | 986 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Kevin Borjas demonstrated standard activity with 330 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Kevin Borjas capitalized on this activity level, while Ronaldo Rodriguez's 197-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Kevin Borjas | Ronaldo Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 988 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -26 |
Kevin Borjas started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ronaldo Rodriguez is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Kevin Borjas | Ronaldo Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 985 | 1 010 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.