September 9, 2022
Catch Weight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Kevin Holland | Khamzat Chimaev |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 16 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 10 | -10 |
| Experience ELO | 1 171 | 1 322 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +40 |
Khamzat Chimaev overcame a 10-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 16 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Kevin Holland.
| Metric | Kevin Holland | Khamzat Chimaev |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 095 | 1 130 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Kevin Holland | Khamzat Chimaev |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:13 | 2:13 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 392 | 1 520 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +70 |
Khamzat Chimaev earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:13, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Kevin Holland | Khamzat Chimaev |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 421 | 1 539 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Virtually no striking took place with only 0 total significant strikes exchanged. Both fighters immediately engaged in grappling, making striking analysis irrelevant to this fight.
| Metric | Kevin Holland | Khamzat Chimaev |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:56 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 171 | 1 422 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Khamzat Chimaev controlled Kevin Holland on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 1:56 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Kevin Holland | Khamzat Chimaev |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 84 | 154 |
| Activity ELO | 1 367 | 1 361 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +45 |
Khamzat Chimaev demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Khamzat Chimaev capitalized on this activity level, while Kevin Holland's 84-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Kevin Holland | Khamzat Chimaev |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 6 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 149 | 1 218 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +51 |
Khamzat Chimaev continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Kevin Holland's now at 0.
| Metric | Kevin Holland | Khamzat Chimaev |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | N/A | N/A |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 094 | 1 130 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.