April 9, 2021
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Kevin Holland | Marvin Vettori |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 127 | 1 230 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +31 |
Marvin Vettori overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (10 vs 12 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Kevin Holland.
| Metric | Kevin Holland | Marvin Vettori |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 078 | 1 114 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Kevin Holland | Marvin Vettori |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 338 | 1 347 |
| ELO Change | -54 | +54 |
Marvin Vettori earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Kevin Holland | Marvin Vettori |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 37 | 24 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 103 | 64 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 138 | 152 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 400 | 1 309 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Kevin Holland controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (37 vs 24). However, since Kevin Holland lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Marvin Vettori's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Kevin Holland | Marvin Vettori |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 11 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 17 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:03 | 20:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 1 149 | 1 449 |
| ELO Change | -61 | +61 |
Marvin Vettori dominated Kevin Holland on the ground with 11 vs 0 takedowns, 20:01 of control time, 7 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Kevin Holland | Marvin Vettori |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 21 | 126 |
| Activity ELO | 1 329 | 1 248 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +61 |
Marvin Vettori demonstrated solid activity levels with 126 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Marvin Vettori capitalized on this activity level, while Kevin Holland's 21-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Kevin Holland | Marvin Vettori |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 5 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 128 | 1 166 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +43 |
Marvin Vettori continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Kevin Holland's now at 0.
| Metric | Kevin Holland | Marvin Vettori |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 077 | 1 114 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.