March 8, 2024
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Kevin Holland | Michael Page |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 21 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 20 | -20 |
| Experience ELO | 1 034 | 1 158 |
| ELO Change | -158 | +158 |
Michael Page overcame a 20-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 21 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Kevin Holland.
| Metric | Kevin Holland | Michael Page |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 071 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Kevin Holland | Michael Page |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 433 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | -80 | +80 |
Michael Page earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Kevin Holland | Michael Page |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 29 | 41 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 61 | 62 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 64 | 59 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 397 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -48 | +48 |
Michael Page edged the striking exchanges with 41 vs 29 significant strikes, 66.1% vs 47.5% accuracy. Michael Page capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Kevin Holland | Michael Page |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:22 | 1:26 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 7 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 314 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +37 |
Michael Page did not secure a significant ground advantage against Kevin Holland on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:26 of control time, 1 ground strike, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Kevin Holland | Michael Page |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 176 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 339 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +38 |
Michael Page demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Michael Page capitalized on this activity level, while Kevin Holland's 176-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Kevin Holland | Michael Page |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 132 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +33 |
Michael Page started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kevin Holland is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Kevin Holland | Michael Page |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 069 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.