May 31, 2024
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Kevin Holland | Michal Oleksiejczuk |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 22 | 14 |
| Experience Gap | 8 | -8 |
| Experience ELO | 1 072 | 1 069 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -38 |
Kevin Holland's 8-fight experience advantage (22 vs 14 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Kevin Holland for the expected result. Had Michal Oleksiejczuk pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Kevin Holland | Michal Oleksiejczuk |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 090 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Kevin Holland | Michal Oleksiejczuk |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:34 | 1:34 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 479 | 1 250 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -24 |
Kevin Holland earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:34, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Kevin Holland | Michal Oleksiejczuk |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 8 | 8 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 17 | 18 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 8 | 9 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 409 | 1 219 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
The striking was extremely close with minimal separation between fighters. However, since Michal Oleksiejczuk lost the overall fight, any slight striking edge couldn't be converted into ELO gains. Kevin Holland's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Kevin Holland | Michal Oleksiejczuk |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:16 | 0:31 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 325 | 971 |
| ELO Change | +11 | -11 |
Kevin Holland edged out Michal Oleksiejczuk on the ground with 0:16 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Kevin Holland | Michal Oleksiejczuk |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 84 | 84 |
| Activity ELO | 1 374 | 1 161 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -12 |
Kevin Holland demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 84 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Kevin Holland capitalized on this activity level, while Michal Oleksiejczuk's 84-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Kevin Holland | Michal Oleksiejczuk |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 151 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -17 |
Kevin Holland started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Michal Oleksiejczuk is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Kevin Holland | Michal Oleksiejczuk |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 088 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.