Kevin Holland vs Randy Brown

April 11, 2026

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1212
(+34)
Kevin Holland
Winner: Kevin Holland
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

C-ELO Evolution

Kevin Holland+34
Randy Brown-32
1198
(-32)
Randy Brown

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Kevin Holland: +45Randy Brown: -45

Performance Statistics

MetricKevin HollandRandy Brown
Total UFC Fights2922
Experience Gap7-7
Experience ELO1 1261 192
ELO Change+45-45
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What Happened

Kevin Holland's 7-fight experience advantage (29 vs 22 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Kevin Holland for the expected result. Had Randy Brown pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Kevin Holland: +25Randy Brown: -25

Performance Statistics

MetricKevin HollandRandy Brown
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0791 101
ELO Change+25-25
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Kevin Holland: +48Randy Brown: -48

Performance Statistics

MetricKevin HollandRandy Brown
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 4211 376
ELO Change+48-48
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What Happened

Kevin Holland earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Kevin Holland: +34Randy Brown: -34

Performance Statistics

MetricKevin HollandRandy Brown
Significant Strikes Landed5646
Significant Strikes Attempted9195
Total Strikes Landed13767
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 2931 227
ELO Change+34-34
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What Happened

Kevin Holland dominated the striking exchanges with 137 vs 67 total strikes, 56 vs 46 significant strikes, 61.5% vs 48.4% accuracy. Kevin Holland capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Kevin Holland: +40Randy Brown: -40

Performance Statistics

MetricKevin HollandRandy Brown
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted34
Ground Control Time4:052:43
Ground Strikes Landed63
Ground ELO1 1671 156
ELO Change+40-40
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What Happened

Kevin Holland edged out Randy Brown on the ground with 4:05 of control time, 6 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Kevin Holland: +30Randy Brown: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricKevin HollandRandy Brown
Days Since Last Fight175154
Activity ELO1 3901 275
ELO Change+30-17
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What Happened

Kevin Holland demonstrated solid activity levels with 175 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Kevin Holland capitalized on this activity level, while Randy Brown's 154-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Kevin Holland: +27Randy Brown: -25

Performance Statistics

MetricKevin HollandRandy Brown
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 1421 152
ELO Change+27-25
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What Happened

Kevin Holland started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Randy Brown is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Kevin Holland: +25Randy Brown: -25

Performance Statistics

MetricKevin HollandRandy Brown
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0771 101
ELO Change+25-25
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.