January 18, 2025
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Kevin Holland | Reinier de Ridder |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 24 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 22 | -22 |
| Experience ELO | 1 029 | 1 202 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +57 |
Reinier de Ridder overcame a 22-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 24 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Kevin Holland.
| Metric | Kevin Holland | Reinier de Ridder |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 044 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Kevin Holland | Reinier de Ridder |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:31 | 3:31 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 355 | 1 230 |
| ELO Change | -72 | +119 |
Reinier de Ridder earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:31, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Kevin Holland | Reinier de Ridder |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 11 | 12 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 13 | 21 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 27 | 26 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 289 | 1 105 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Kevin Holland controlled the striking through superior accuracy (84.6% vs 57.1%). However, since Kevin Holland lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Reinier de Ridder's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Kevin Holland | Reinier de Ridder |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 3:25 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 9 | 12 |
| Ground ELO | 1 134 | 1 275 |
| ELO Change | -109 | +109 |
Reinier de Ridder dominated Kevin Holland on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 3:25 of control time, 12 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Kevin Holland | Reinier de Ridder |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 105 | 70 |
| Activity ELO | 1 314 | 1 142 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +109 |
Reinier de Ridder demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 70 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Reinier de Ridder capitalized on this activity level, while Kevin Holland's 105-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Kevin Holland | Reinier de Ridder |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 101 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +32 |
Reinier de Ridder extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kevin Holland is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Kevin Holland | Reinier de Ridder |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 043 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.