April 7, 2023
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Kevin Holland | Santiago Ponzinibbio |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 18 | 17 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 184 | 1 178 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -38 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (18 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Kevin Holland | Santiago Ponzinibbio |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 098 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Kevin Holland | Santiago Ponzinibbio |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 3:16 | 3:16 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 475 | 1 457 |
| ELO Change | +121 | -60 |
Kevin Holland gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Kevin Holland | Santiago Ponzinibbio |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 66 | 44 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 197 | 104 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 67 | 44 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 451 | 1 272 |
| ELO Change | +103 | -103 |
Kevin Holland controlled the striking exchanges with 67 vs 44 total strikes, 66 vs 44 significant strikes, 33.5% vs 42.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Kevin Holland capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Kevin Holland | Santiago Ponzinibbio |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:03 | 0:07 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 215 | 1 174 |
| ELO Change | +66 | -66 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Kevin Holland | Santiago Ponzinibbio |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 126 | 119 |
| Activity ELO | 1 370 | 1 234 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -16 |
Kevin Holland demonstrated solid activity levels with 126 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Kevin Holland capitalized on this activity level, while Santiago Ponzinibbio's 119-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Kevin Holland | Santiago Ponzinibbio |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 159 | 1 186 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -26 |
Kevin Holland started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Santiago Ponzinibbio is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Kevin Holland | Santiago Ponzinibbio |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 096 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

