Kevin Holland vs Thiago Santos

August 3, 2018

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

984
(-16)
Kevin Holland
Winner: Thiago Santos
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Kevin Holland-16
Thiago Santos+18
1211
(+18)
Thiago Santos

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Kevin Holland: -19Thiago Santos: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricKevin HollandThiago Santos
Total UFC Fights115
Experience Gap-1414
Experience ELO9811 169
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

Thiago Santos's 14-fight experience advantage (15 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Thiago Santos for the expected result. Had Kevin Holland pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Kevin Holland: -16Thiago Santos: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricKevin HollandThiago Santos
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9841 094
ELO Change-16+16
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Kevin Holland: -9Thiago Santos: +9

Performance Statistics

MetricKevin HollandThiago Santos
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO9911 385
ELO Change-9+9
💡

What Happened

Thiago Santos earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Kevin Holland: -7Thiago Santos: +7

Performance Statistics

MetricKevin HollandThiago Santos
Significant Strikes Landed3169
Significant Strikes Attempted55153
Total Strikes Landed8181
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9931 361
ELO Change-7+7
💡

What Happened

Thiago Santos controlled the striking exchanges with 69 vs 31 significant strikes, 45.1% vs 56.4% accuracy. Thiago Santos capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Kevin Holland: -40Thiago Santos: +40

Performance Statistics

MetricKevin HollandThiago Santos
Takedowns Landed03
Takedowns Attempted17
Ground Control Time1:109:37
Ground Strikes Landed1347
Ground ELO9601 217
ELO Change-40+40
💡

What Happened

Thiago Santos controlled Kevin Holland on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 9:37 of control time, 47 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Kevin Holland: -9Thiago Santos: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricKevin HollandThiago Santos
Days Since Last FightN/A105
Activity ELO9911 240
ELO Change-9+23
💡

What Happened

Thiago Santos demonstrated solid activity levels with 105 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Thiago Santos capitalized on this activity level, while Kevin Holland's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Kevin Holland: -14Thiago Santos: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricKevin HollandThiago Santos
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9861 131
ELO Change-14+16
💡

What Happened

Thiago Santos started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kevin Holland is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Kevin Holland: -16Thiago Santos: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricKevin HollandThiago Santos
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9841 094
ELO Change-16+16
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.