June 17, 2022
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Kevin Holland | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 15 | 25 |
| Experience Gap | -10 | 10 |
| Experience ELO | 1 195 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -24 |
Kevin Holland overcame a 10-fight experience disadvantage (15 vs 25 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Tim Means.
| Metric | Kevin Holland | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 116 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Kevin Holland | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:28 | 1:28 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 432 | 1 274 |
| ELO Change | +52 | -33 |
Kevin Holland earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:28, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Tim Means was submitted.
| Metric | Kevin Holland | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 36 | 21 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 90 | 46 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 53 | 25 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 445 | 1 196 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
Kevin Holland controlled the striking exchanges with 53 vs 25 total strikes, 36 vs 21 significant strikes. Kevin Holland capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Kevin Holland | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:09 | 1:30 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 212 | 1 170 |
| ELO Change | +48 | -48 |
Kevin Holland edged out Tim Means on the ground with 0 takedowns, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Kevin Holland | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 105 | 357 |
| Activity ELO | 1 393 | 1 254 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -16 |
Kevin Holland demonstrated solid activity levels with 105 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Kevin Holland capitalized on this activity level, while Tim Means's 357-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Kevin Holland | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 170 | 1 107 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -20 |
Kevin Holland extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tim Means is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Kevin Holland | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 115 | 1 067 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.