Kevin Holland vs Vicente Luque

June 7, 2025

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1252
(+49)
Kevin Holland
Winner: Kevin Holland
Submission
Round 2 • 1:03

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Kevin Holland+49
Vicente Luque-39
1251
(-39)
Vicente Luque

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Kevin Holland: +49Vicente Luque: -49

Performance Statistics

MetricKevin HollandVicente Luque
Total UFC Fights2623
Experience Gap3-3
Experience ELO1 1251 248
ELO Change+49-49
💡

What Happened

Kevin Holland's 3-fight experience advantage (26 vs 23 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Kevin Holland for the expected result. Had Vicente Luque pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Kevin Holland: +27Vicente Luque: -27

Performance Statistics

MetricKevin HollandVicente Luque
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0951 139
ELO Change+27-27
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Kevin Holland: +82Vicente Luque: -53

Performance Statistics

MetricKevin HollandVicente Luque
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish1:031:03
Win Type ELO1 4861 441
ELO Change+82-53
💡

What Happened

Kevin Holland earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:03, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Vicente Luque was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Kevin Holland: +25Vicente Luque: -25

Performance Statistics

MetricKevin HollandVicente Luque
Significant Strikes Landed4024
Significant Strikes Attempted7446
Total Strikes Landed4424
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 3821 219
ELO Change+25-25
💡

What Happened

Kevin Holland controlled the striking exchanges with 44 vs 24 total strikes, 40 vs 24 significant strikes. Kevin Holland capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Kevin Holland: +83Vicente Luque: -83

Performance Statistics

MetricKevin HollandVicente Luque
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted11
Ground Control Time0:130:00
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 2551 278
ELO Change+83-83
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What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Kevin Holland: +65Vicente Luque: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricKevin HollandVicente Luque
Days Since Last Fight77182
Activity ELO1 4191 345
ELO Change+65-22
💡

What Happened

Kevin Holland demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 77 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Kevin Holland capitalized on this activity level, while Vicente Luque's 182-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Kevin Holland: +33Vicente Luque: -27

Performance Statistics

MetricKevin HollandVicente Luque
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 1591 206
ELO Change+33-27
💡

What Happened

Kevin Holland extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Vicente Luque is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Kevin Holland: +26Vicente Luque: -26

Performance Statistics

MetricKevin HollandVicente Luque
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0931 131
ELO Change+26-26
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.