September 8, 2023
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Kevin Jousset | Kiefer Crosbie |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Kevin Jousset | Kiefer Crosbie |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Kevin Jousset | Kiefer Crosbie |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:49 | 4:49 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 069 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +69 | -42 |
Kevin Jousset earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:49, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Kevin Jousset | Kiefer Crosbie |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 29 | 39 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 58 | 59 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 39 | 45 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Kiefer Crosbie controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (39 vs 29), superior accuracy (66.1% vs 50.0%). However, since Kiefer Crosbie lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Kevin Jousset's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Kevin Jousset | Kiefer Crosbie |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:45 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 058 | 942 |
| ELO Change | +58 | -58 |
Kevin Jousset controlled Kiefer Crosbie on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:45 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Kevin Jousset | Kiefer Crosbie |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Kevin Jousset demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Kevin Jousset capitalized on this activity level, while Kiefer Crosbie's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Kevin Jousset | Kiefer Crosbie |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 023 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Kevin Jousset started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kiefer Crosbie is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Kevin Jousset | Kiefer Crosbie |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

