December 11, 2015
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Kevin Lee | Leonardo Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 067 | 1 124 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +35 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (6 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Kevin Lee | Leonardo Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 040 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Kevin Lee | Leonardo Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:26 | 3:26 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 102 | 1 241 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +87 |
Leonardo Santos earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:26, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Kevin Lee | Leonardo Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 10 | 32 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 46 | 48 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 10 | 32 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 972 | 1 191 |
| ELO Change | -127 | +127 |
Leonardo Santos controlled the striking exchanges with 32 vs 10 total strikes, 32 vs 10 significant strikes, 66.7% vs 21.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Leonardo Santos capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Kevin Lee | Leonardo Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:30 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 14 |
| Ground ELO | 1 178 | 1 219 |
| ELO Change | -80 | +80 |
Leonardo Santos landed 1 knockdown followed by 14 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Kevin Lee | Leonardo Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 151 | 266 |
| Activity ELO | 1 122 | 1 115 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +31 |
Leonardo Santos demonstrated standard activity with 266 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Leonardo Santos capitalized on this activity level, while Kevin Lee's 151-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Kevin Lee | Leonardo Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 060 | 1 096 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +28 |
Leonardo Santos extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kevin Lee is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Kevin Lee | Leonardo Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 040 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.