June 24, 2017
Lightweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Kevin Lee | Michael Chiesa |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 240 | 1 171 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (11 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Kevin Lee | Michael Chiesa |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 141 | 1 086 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Kevin Lee | Michael Chiesa |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:37 | 4:37 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 430 | 1 300 |
| ELO Change | +64 | -39 |
Kevin Lee earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:37, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Kevin Lee | Michael Chiesa |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 22 | 4 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 30 | 9 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 37 | 9 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 243 | 1 089 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -56 |
Kevin Lee controlled the striking exchanges with 37 vs 9 total strikes, 22 vs 4 significant strikes, 73.3% vs 44.4% accuracy. Kevin Lee capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Kevin Lee | Michael Chiesa |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:33 | 0:08 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 19 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 521 | 1 243 |
| ELO Change | +107 | -107 |
Kevin Lee dominated Michael Chiesa on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 3:33 of control time, 19 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Kevin Lee | Michael Chiesa |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 106 | 435 |
| Activity ELO | 1 344 | 1 198 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -16 |
Kevin Lee demonstrated solid activity levels with 106 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Kevin Lee capitalized on this activity level, while Michael Chiesa's 435-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Kevin Lee | Michael Chiesa |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 5 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 202 | 1 118 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -19 |
Kevin Lee continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Michael Chiesa's now at 0.
| Metric | Kevin Lee | Michael Chiesa |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 141 | 1 086 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.