Kevin Natividad vs Miles Johns

October 30, 2020

Bantamweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

963
(-37)
Kevin Natividad
Winner: Miles Johns
KO/TKO
Round 3 • 2:51

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Kevin Natividad-37
Miles Johns+43
1039
(+43)
Miles Johns

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Kevin Natividad: -28Miles Johns: +28

Performance Statistics

MetricKevin NatividadMiles Johns
Total UFC Fights13
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO9721 071
ELO Change-28+28
💡

What Happened

Miles Johns's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Miles Johns for the expected result. Had Kevin Natividad pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Kevin Natividad: -21Miles Johns: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricKevin NatividadMiles Johns
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Kevin Natividad: -45Miles Johns: +91

Performance Statistics

MetricKevin NatividadMiles Johns
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round33
Time of Finish2:512:51
Win Type ELO9551 062
ELO Change-45+91
💡

What Happened

Miles Johns gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Kevin Natividad: -108Miles Johns: +108

Performance Statistics

MetricKevin NatividadMiles Johns
Significant Strikes Landed3348
Significant Strikes Attempted137105
Total Strikes Landed3856
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO8921 057
ELO Change-108+108
💡

What Happened

Miles Johns controlled the striking exchanges with 48 vs 33 significant strikes, 45.7% vs 24.1% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Miles Johns capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Kevin Natividad: -28Miles Johns: +28

Performance Statistics

MetricKevin NatividadMiles Johns
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted17
Ground Control Time0:003:03
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO9721 026
ELO Change-28+28
💡

What Happened

Miles Johns did not secure a significant ground advantage against Kevin Natividad on the ground with 3:03 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Kevin Natividad: -21Miles Johns: +26

Performance Statistics

MetricKevin NatividadMiles Johns
Days Since Last FightN/A266
Activity ELO9791 027
ELO Change-21+26
💡

What Happened

Miles Johns demonstrated standard activity with 266 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Miles Johns capitalized on this activity level, while Kevin Natividad's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Kevin Natividad: -21Miles Johns: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricKevin NatividadMiles Johns
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9791 026
ELO Change-21+23
💡

What Happened

Miles Johns started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kevin Natividad is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Kevin Natividad: -21Miles Johns: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricKevin NatividadMiles Johns
Weight ClassBantamweightBantamweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.