January 10, 2002
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Kevin Randleman | Renato Sobral |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 123 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Kevin Randleman's 5-fight experience advantage (7 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Kevin Randleman for the expected result. Had Renato Sobral pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Kevin Randleman | Renato Sobral |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 114 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Kevin Randleman | Renato Sobral |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 131 | 993 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Kevin Randleman earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Kevin Randleman | Renato Sobral |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 18 | 2 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 39 | 3 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 72 | 24 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 060 | 965 |
| ELO Change | +78 | -78 |
Kevin Randleman controlled the striking exchanges with 72 vs 24 total strikes, 18 vs 2 significant strikes, 46.2% vs 66.7% accuracy. Kevin Randleman capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Kevin Randleman | Renato Sobral |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 12:47 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 18 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 254 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | +68 | -68 |
Kevin Randleman dominated Renato Sobral on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 12:47 of control time, 18 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Kevin Randleman | Renato Sobral |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 253 | 420 |
| Activity ELO | 1 074 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -20 |
Kevin Randleman demonstrated standard activity with 253 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Kevin Randleman capitalized on this activity level, while Renato Sobral's 420-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Kevin Randleman | Renato Sobral |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 046 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Kevin Randleman started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Renato Sobral is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Kevin Randleman | Renato Sobral |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 033 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.