November 11, 2016
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Khabib Nurmagomedov | Michael Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 15 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 305 | 1 148 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -23 |
Khabib Nurmagomedov overcame a 7-fight experience disadvantage (8 vs 15 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Michael Johnson.
| Metric | Khabib Nurmagomedov | Michael Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 154 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Khabib Nurmagomedov | Michael Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 2:31 | 2:31 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 435 | 1 369 |
| ELO Change | +73 | -49 |
Khabib Nurmagomedov earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 2:31, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Michael Johnson was submitted.
| Metric | Khabib Nurmagomedov | Michael Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 94 | 19 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 142 | 77 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 140 | 20 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 432 | 1 324 |
| ELO Change | +79 | -79 |
Khabib Nurmagomedov dominated the striking exchanges with 140 vs 20 total strikes, 94 vs 19 significant strikes, 66.2% vs 24.7% accuracy. Khabib Nurmagomedov capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Khabib Nurmagomedov | Michael Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 8:44 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 88 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 537 | 1 136 |
| ELO Change | +51 | -51 |
Khabib Nurmagomedov dominated Michael Johnson on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 8:44 of control time, 88 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Khabib Nurmagomedov | Michael Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 211 | 57 |
| Activity ELO | 1 247 | 1 199 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -21 |
Khabib Nurmagomedov demonstrated standard activity with 211 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Khabib Nurmagomedov capitalized on this activity level, while Michael Johnson's 57-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Khabib Nurmagomedov | Michael Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 8 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 269 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | +48 | -14 |
Khabib Nurmagomedov continued building serious momentum with a 8-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Michael Johnson's now at 0.
| Metric | Khabib Nurmagomedov | Michael Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 154 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.