April 18, 2014
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Khabib Nurmagomedov | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 14 |
| Experience Gap | -8 | 8 |
| Experience ELO | 1 261 | 1 174 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -31 |
Khabib Nurmagomedov overcame a 8-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 14 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Rafael Dos Anjos.
| Metric | Khabib Nurmagomedov | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 123 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Khabib Nurmagomedov | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 341 | 1 348 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -56 |
Khabib Nurmagomedov earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Khabib Nurmagomedov | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 36 | 20 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 97 | 56 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 72 | 40 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 323 | 1 280 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -41 |
Khabib Nurmagomedov controlled the striking exchanges with 72 vs 40 total strikes, 36 vs 20 significant strikes. Khabib Nurmagomedov capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Khabib Nurmagomedov | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 12 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 9:47 | 0:13 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 18 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 475 | 1 272 |
| ELO Change | +152 | -152 |
Khabib Nurmagomedov dominated Rafael Dos Anjos on the ground with 6 vs 0 takedowns, 9:47 of control time, 18 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Khabib Nurmagomedov | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 210 | 234 |
| Activity ELO | 1 212 | 1 311 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -30 |
Khabib Nurmagomedov demonstrated standard activity with 210 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Khabib Nurmagomedov capitalized on this activity level, while Rafael Dos Anjos's 234-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Khabib Nurmagomedov | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 6 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 191 | 1 155 |
| ELO Change | +57 | -24 |
Khabib Nurmagomedov continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Rafael Dos Anjos's now at 0.
| Metric | Khabib Nurmagomedov | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 123 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.