January 18, 2013
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Khabib Nurmagomedov | Thiago Tavares |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 13 |
| Experience Gap | -10 | 10 |
| Experience ELO | 1 178 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -23 |
Khabib Nurmagomedov overcame a 10-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 13 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Thiago Tavares.
| Metric | Khabib Nurmagomedov | Thiago Tavares |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 068 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Khabib Nurmagomedov | Thiago Tavares |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:55 | 1:55 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 250 | 1 159 |
| ELO Change | +125 | -52 |
Khabib Nurmagomedov earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:55, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Khabib Nurmagomedov | Thiago Tavares |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 22 | 2 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 31 | 10 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 22 | 2 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 242 | 939 |
| ELO Change | +136 | -136 |
Khabib Nurmagomedov controlled the striking exchanges with 22 vs 2 total strikes, 22 vs 2 significant strikes, 71.0% vs 20.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Khabib Nurmagomedov capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Khabib Nurmagomedov | Thiago Tavares |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:13 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 17 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 263 | 1 169 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -56 |
Khabib Nurmagomedov controlled Thiago Tavares on the ground with 17 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Khabib Nurmagomedov | Thiago Tavares |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 197 | 371 |
| Activity ELO | 1 114 | 1 135 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -26 |
Khabib Nurmagomedov demonstrated standard activity with 197 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Khabib Nurmagomedov capitalized on this activity level, while Thiago Tavares's 371-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Khabib Nurmagomedov | Thiago Tavares |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 084 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -22 |
Khabib Nurmagomedov extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Thiago Tavares is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Khabib Nurmagomedov | Thiago Tavares |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 068 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.