September 3, 2021
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Khalil Rountree Jr. | Modestas Bukauskas |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 965 | 937 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Khalil Rountree Jr.'s 7-fight experience advantage (11 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Khalil Rountree Jr. for the expected result. Had Modestas Bukauskas pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Khalil Rountree Jr. | Modestas Bukauskas |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 998 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Khalil Rountree Jr. | Modestas Bukauskas |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:30 | 2:30 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 170 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | +78 | -38 |
Khalil Rountree Jr. gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Khalil Rountree Jr. | Modestas Bukauskas |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 38 | 23 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 92 | 49 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 38 | 23 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 157 | 898 |
| ELO Change | +61 | -61 |
Khalil Rountree Jr. controlled the striking exchanges with 38 vs 23 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Khalil Rountree Jr. capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Khalil Rountree Jr. | Modestas Bukauskas |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 962 | 949 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
The fight remained exclusively on the feet with zero ground action, resulting in neutral ground scoring for both fighters.
| Metric | Khalil Rountree Jr. | Modestas Bukauskas |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 224 | 161 |
| Activity ELO | 1 069 | 973 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -18 |
Khalil Rountree Jr. demonstrated standard activity with 224 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Khalil Rountree Jr. capitalized on this activity level, while Modestas Bukauskas's 161-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Khalil Rountree Jr. | Modestas Bukauskas |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 011 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Khalil Rountree Jr. started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Modestas Bukauskas is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Khalil Rountree Jr. | Modestas Bukauskas |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 997 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.