July 15, 2017
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Khalil Rountree Jr. | Paul Craig |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 996 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -41 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Khalil Rountree Jr. | Paul Craig |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 003 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Khalil Rountree Jr. | Paul Craig |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:56 | 4:56 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 135 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | +91 | -42 |
Khalil Rountree Jr. earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:56, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Khalil Rountree Jr. | Paul Craig |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 15 | 17 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 47 | 29 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 15 | 17 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 118 | 893 |
| ELO Change | +58 | -58 |
Khalil Rountree Jr. controlled the striking exchanges with 31.9% vs 58.6% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Khalil Rountree Jr. capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Khalil Rountree Jr. | Paul Craig |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:04 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 984 | 998 |
| ELO Change | +76 | -76 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Khalil Rountree Jr. | Paul Craig |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 162 | 134 |
| Activity ELO | 1 060 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -20 |
Khalil Rountree Jr. demonstrated solid activity levels with 162 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Khalil Rountree Jr. capitalized on this activity level, while Paul Craig's 134-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Khalil Rountree Jr. | Paul Craig |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 010 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -22 |
Khalil Rountree Jr. extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Paul Craig is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Khalil Rountree Jr. | Paul Craig |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 003 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.