October 26, 2024
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Khamzat Chimaev | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 23 |
| Experience Gap | -15 | 15 |
| Experience ELO | 1 458 | 1 353 |
| ELO Change | +60 | -30 |
Khamzat Chimaev overcame a 15-fight experience disadvantage (8 vs 23 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Robert Whittaker.
| Metric | Khamzat Chimaev | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 188 | 1 196 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Khamzat Chimaev | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:34 | 3:34 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 627 | 1 564 |
| ELO Change | +83 | -50 |
Khamzat Chimaev earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:34, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Khamzat Chimaev | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 3 | 2 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 4 | 2 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 25 | 2 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 629 | 1 467 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -50 |
Khamzat Chimaev edged the striking exchanges with 25 vs 2 total strikes, 75.0% vs 100.0% accuracy. Khamzat Chimaev capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Khamzat Chimaev | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:20 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 667 | 1 347 |
| ELO Change | +87 | -87 |
Khamzat Chimaev dominated Robert Whittaker on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 3:20 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Khamzat Chimaev | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 372 | 127 |
| Activity ELO | 1 407 | 1 389 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -23 |
Khamzat Chimaev demonstrated extended layoff with 372 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Khamzat Chimaev capitalized on this activity level, while Robert Whittaker's 127-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Khamzat Chimaev | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 8 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 416 | 1 376 |
| ELO Change | +86 | -25 |
Khamzat Chimaev continued building serious momentum with a 8-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Robert Whittaker's now at 0.
| Metric | Khamzat Chimaev | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 181 | 1 187 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.