December 18, 2020
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Khaos Williams | Michel Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 102 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +43 |
Michel Pereira's 2-fight experience advantage (5 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Michel Pereira for the expected result. Had Khaos Williams pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Khaos Williams | Michel Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 023 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Khaos Williams | Michel Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 276 | 1 181 |
| ELO Change | -66 | +66 |
Michel Pereira earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Khaos Williams | Michel Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 55 | 44 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 127 | 79 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 62 | 56 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 317 | 1 117 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Khaos Williams controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (55 vs 44), superior accuracy (43.3% vs 55.7%). However, since Khaos Williams lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Michel Pereira's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Khaos Williams | Michel Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:36 | 1:21 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 015 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | -86 | +86 |
Michel Pereira controlled Khaos Williams on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 1:21 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Khaos Williams | Michel Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 35 | 106 |
| Activity ELO | 1 033 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +58 |
Michel Pereira demonstrated solid activity levels with 106 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Michel Pereira capitalized on this activity level, while Khaos Williams's 35-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Khaos Williams | Michel Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 032 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +29 |
Michel Pereira extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Khaos Williams is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Khaos Williams | Michel Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 023 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

