Khaos Williams vs Randy Brown

May 6, 2022

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1154
(-20)
Khaos Williams
Winner: Randy Brown
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Khaos Williams-20
Randy Brown+22
1212
(+22)
Randy Brown

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Khaos Williams: -31Randy Brown: +31

Performance Statistics

MetricKhaos WilliamsRandy Brown
Total UFC Fights613
Experience Gap-77
Experience ELO1 1321 201
ELO Change-31+31
💡

What Happened

Randy Brown's 7-fight experience advantage (13 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Randy Brown for the expected result. Had Khaos Williams pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Khaos Williams: -20Randy Brown: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricKhaos WilliamsRandy Brown
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0461 106
ELO Change-20+20
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Khaos Williams: -11Randy Brown: +11

Performance Statistics

MetricKhaos WilliamsRandy Brown
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 3661 357
ELO Change-11+11
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What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Randy Brown receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Khaos Williams: -35Randy Brown: +35

Performance Statistics

MetricKhaos WilliamsRandy Brown
Significant Strikes Landed7593
Significant Strikes Attempted224177
Total Strikes Landed96103
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 3781 301
ELO Change-35+35
💡

What Happened

Randy Brown controlled the striking exchanges with 93 vs 75 significant strikes, 52.5% vs 33.5% accuracy. Randy Brown capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Khaos Williams: -13Randy Brown: +13

Performance Statistics

MetricKhaos WilliamsRandy Brown
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted04
Ground Control Time4:090:11
Ground Strikes Landed30
Ground ELO1 1111 276
ELO Change-13+13
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What Happened

Randy Brown did not secure a significant ground advantage against Khaos Williams on the ground through positional advantages and pressure, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Khaos Williams: -16Randy Brown: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricKhaos WilliamsRandy Brown
Days Since Last Fight175210
Activity ELO1 0881 211
ELO Change-16+20
💡

What Happened

Randy Brown demonstrated standard activity with 210 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Randy Brown capitalized on this activity level, while Khaos Williams's 175-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Khaos Williams: -19Randy Brown: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricKhaos WilliamsRandy Brown
Win Streak03
Win Streak ELO1 0631 136
ELO Change-19+25
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What Happened

Randy Brown extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Khaos Williams is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Khaos Williams: -20Randy Brown: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricKhaos WilliamsRandy Brown
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0461 106
ELO Change-20+20
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.