May 5, 2023
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Khaos Williams | Rolando Bedoya |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 152 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Khaos Williams's 6-fight experience advantage (7 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Khaos Williams for the expected result. Had Rolando Bedoya pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Khaos Williams | Rolando Bedoya |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 064 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Khaos Williams | Rolando Bedoya |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 368 | 998 |
| ELO Change | +2 | -2 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Khaos Williams receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Khaos Williams | Rolando Bedoya |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 130 | 149 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 283 | 209 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 131 | 150 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 382 | 996 |
| ELO Change | +4 | -4 |
Rolando Bedoya controlled the striking through superior volume (150 vs 131 total strikes), significant strike advantage (149 vs 130), superior accuracy (71.3% vs 45.9%). However, since Rolando Bedoya lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Khaos Williams's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Khaos Williams | Rolando Bedoya |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:13 | 0:07 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 127 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
Khaos Williams did not secure a significant ground advantage against Rolando Bedoya on the ground with 1:13 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Khaos Williams | Rolando Bedoya |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 364 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 104 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
Khaos Williams demonstrated standard activity with 364 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Khaos Williams capitalized on this activity level, while Rolando Bedoya's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Khaos Williams | Rolando Bedoya |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 082 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -17 |
Khaos Williams started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rolando Bedoya is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Khaos Williams | Rolando Bedoya |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 064 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

